Tap an odd to add it to your bet slip
Stoke City wins
Home2.8730%
Draw3.3628%
Away2.3743%
Both teams score
Yes1.7361%
No2.0139%
Over 2.5 goals
Over1.9556%
Under1.8344%
Over 9.5 corners
Over1.6757%
Under2.0943%
The model's analysis
For the match Derby vs Stoke City on October 17, 2026 (Championship), our Metapred algorithm predicts an away victory for Stoke City with low confidence. Our analysis suggests both teams will score, Average odds suggest a significant probability of a Stoke City victory (2.37).
Match context: Derby is in 23th place. while Stoke City is in 6th place. Derby is struggling with only 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Stoke City shows excellent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Derby and Stoke City averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of their respective matches. 60% of these teams' matches saw over 2.5 goals.
Key Trends
FormStoke City won 6 of their last 10 matches
GoalsBoth teams scored in 83% of Stoke City away matches
GoalsStoke City scored in 5 of their last 5 matches
GoalsDerby scored in 4 of their last 5 matches
GoalsOver 2.5 goals in 67% of Stoke City away matches
Head to HeadStoke City won 3 of 5 H2H meetings
Derby
2N · 3DDDNND
D
vsStoke CityD
@QPRN
vsWrexhamN
@BurnleyD
vsBirminghamStoke City
4V · 1DVDVVV
V
@DerbyD
vsMiddlesbroughV
@BoltonV
vsSheffield UtdV
@WatfordTeam Statistics · 10 matches
BTTS (Both Teams To Score)5/10 · 50%
Over 2.5 goals5/10 · 50%
Clean sheets1/10 · 10%
OverallHomeAway
Wins101
Draws321
Losses642
Goals scored844
Goals conceded18108
Avg. goals scored0.800.671.00
Avg. goals conceded1.801.672.00
Highlighted: where this team plays this match.
Home
BTTS (Both Teams To Score)50%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Away
BTTS (Both Teams To Score)50%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Championship standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 23 |
| 5 | West Brom | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 20 |
| 6 | Stoke City | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 7 | Southampton | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 17 |
| 22 | Burnley | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 6 |
| 24 | Preston | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -15 | 4 |
Keep watching
See all →FAQ
Who will win Derby vs Stoke City?
According to the MetaPred algorithm, the most likely outcome for Derby vs Stoke City is a Stoke City win with a probability of 43%.
Will both teams score in Derby vs Stoke City?
Our analysis indicates Yes for Both Teams to Score (BTTS) with a 61% probability for Derby vs Stoke City.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Derby vs Stoke City?
The MetaPred model predicts Over 2.5 goals for the Over/Under 2.5 goals market with a 56% probability.
Tap an odd to add it to your bet slip
Stoke City wins
Home2.8730%
Draw3.3628%
Away2.3743%
Both teams score
Yes1.7361%
No2.0139%
Over 2.5 goals
Over1.9556%
Under1.8344%
Over 9.5 corners
Over1.6757%
Under2.0943%
The model's analysis
For the match Derby vs Stoke City on October 17, 2026 (Championship), our Metapred algorithm predicts an away victory for Stoke City with low confidence. Our analysis suggests both teams will score, Average odds suggest a significant probability of a Stoke City victory (2.37).
Match context: Derby is in 23th place. while Stoke City is in 6th place. Derby is struggling with only 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Stoke City shows excellent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Derby and Stoke City averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of their respective matches. 60% of these teams' matches saw over 2.5 goals.
Key Trends
FormStoke City won 6 of their last 10 matches
GoalsBoth teams scored in 83% of Stoke City away matches
GoalsStoke City scored in 5 of their last 5 matches
GoalsDerby scored in 4 of their last 5 matches
GoalsOver 2.5 goals in 67% of Stoke City away matches
Head to HeadStoke City won 3 of 5 H2H meetings
Derby
2N · 3DDDNND
D
vsStoke CityD
@QPRN
vsWrexhamN
@BurnleyD
vsBirminghamStoke City
4V · 1DVDVVV
V
@DerbyD
vsMiddlesbroughV
@BoltonV
vsSheffield UtdV
@WatfordTeam Statistics
DerbyStoke City
50%BTTS (Both Teams To Score)70%
50%Over 2.5 goals70%
1Clean sheets3
1Wins6
8Goals scored17
18Goals conceded14
0.80Avg goals/match1.70
Championship standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 23 |
| 5 | West Brom | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 20 |
| 6 | Stoke City | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 7 | Southampton | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 17 |
| 22 | Burnley | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 6 |
| 24 | Preston | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -15 | 4 |
FAQ
Who will win Derby vs Stoke City?
According to the MetaPred algorithm, the most likely outcome for Derby vs Stoke City is a Stoke City win with a probability of 43%.
Will both teams score in Derby vs Stoke City?
Our analysis indicates Yes for Both Teams to Score (BTTS) with a 61% probability for Derby vs Stoke City.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Derby vs Stoke City?
The MetaPred model predicts Over 2.5 goals for the Over/Under 2.5 goals market with a 56% probability.