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Disclaimer: Predictions are provided for informational purposes only. Our algorithm calculates probabilities based on statistical data and does not guarantee result accuracy. We are not responsible for financial losses resulting from their use. Betting carries risks. Please gamble responsibly.

© 2026 MetaPredictions · All rights reserved.Made with method, not promises.
MetaPred
Championship
Burnley logo
Burnley
Predicted Score2 – 1
Derby logo
Derby
14:00
Championship
Burnley logo
Burnley
Predicted Score2 – 1prediction, not the final score
Derby logo
Derby
14:00
Tap an odd to add it to your bet slip

Burnley wins

Both teams score

Over 2.5 goals

Over 9.5 corners

The model's analysis

For the match Burnley vs Derby on September 19, 2026 (Championship), our Metapred algorithm predicts a Burnley home victory with low confidence. Our analysis suggests both teams will score, Average odds suggest a strong probability of a Burnley victory (1.79).

Match context: Burnley is in 24th place. while Derby is in 22th place. Burnley is struggling with only 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Derby is struggling with only 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Burnley and Derby averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.9 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 75% of their respective matches. 70% of these teams' matches saw over 2.5 goals.

Key Trends
GoalsBoth teams scored in 100% of Burnley home matches
GoalsBurnley scored in 5 of their last 5 matches
GoalsOver 2.5 goals in 80% of Derby away matches
GoalsBoth teams scored in 60% of Derby away matches
GoalsOver 2.5 goals in 60% of Burnley home matches

Burnley

2N · 3D
DNDND
D
@Swansea
1-3
N
@Wrexham
1-1
D
vsBristol City
1-2
N
vsMiddlesbrough
1-1
D
@Norwich
1-4

Derby

1V · 4D
DDDVD
D
vsBirmingham
1-2
D
vsWest Brom
0-1
D
@West Ham
0-3
V
@Portsmouth
2-0
D
vsSwansea
0-3
Team Statistics · 10 matches
BTTS (Both Teams To Score)9/10 · 90%
Over 2.5 goals6/10 · 60%
Clean sheets0/10 · 0%
OverallHomeAway
Wins000
Draws541
Losses514
Goals scored1174
Goals conceded20812
Avg. goals scored1.101.400.80
Avg. goals conceded2.001.602.40

Highlighted: where this team plays this match.

Home
BTTS (Both Teams To Score)100%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Away
BTTS (Both Teams To Score)80%
Over 2.5 goals60%

Championship standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1West Ham7421+1114
…
21Cardiff7043-44
22Derby7115-74
23Preston7106-73
24Burnley7034-83

Keep watching

See all →
  • 11:00
    Championship
    Sheffield Utd
    Wolverhampton
    Away win
    48%
  • 15:30
    Bundesliga
    SV Elversberg
    Bayern Munich
    Away win
    83%
  • 17:00
    Liga Portugal
    SL Benfica
    GIL Vicente
    Home win
    80%
  • 18:45
    Ligue 1
    Brest
    PSG
    Away win
    79%
  • 14:15
    La Liga
    Levante
    Barcelona
    Away win
    77%

FAQ

Who will win Burnley vs Derby?

According to the MetaPred algorithm, the most likely outcome for Burnley vs Derby is a Burnley win with a probability of 52%.

Will both teams score in Burnley vs Derby?

Our analysis indicates Yes for Both Teams to Score (BTTS) with a 61% probability for Burnley vs Derby.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Burnley vs Derby?

The MetaPred model predicts Over 2.5 goals for the Over/Under 2.5 goals market with a 60% probability.

MetaPred
Championship
Burnley logo
Burnley
Predicted Score2 – 1
Derby logo
Derby
14:00
Championship
Burnley logo
Burnley
Predicted Score2 – 1prediction, not the final score
Derby logo
Derby
14:00
Tap an odd to add it to your bet slip

Burnley wins

Both teams score

Over 2.5 goals

Over 9.5 corners

The model's analysis

For the match Burnley vs Derby on September 19, 2026 (Championship), our Metapred algorithm predicts a Burnley home victory with low confidence. Our analysis suggests both teams will score, Average odds suggest a strong probability of a Burnley victory (1.79).

Match context: Burnley is in 24th place. while Derby is in 22th place. Burnley is struggling with only 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Derby is struggling with only 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Burnley and Derby averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.9 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 75% of their respective matches. 70% of these teams' matches saw over 2.5 goals.

Key Trends
GoalsBoth teams scored in 100% of Burnley home matches
GoalsBurnley scored in 5 of their last 5 matches
GoalsOver 2.5 goals in 80% of Derby away matches
GoalsBoth teams scored in 60% of Derby away matches
GoalsOver 2.5 goals in 60% of Burnley home matches

Burnley

2N · 3D
DNDND
D
@Swansea
1-3
N
@Wrexham
1-1
D
vsBristol City
1-2
N
vsMiddlesbrough
1-1
D
@Norwich
1-4

Derby

1V · 4D
DDDVD
D
vsBirmingham
1-2
D
vsWest Brom
0-1
D
@West Ham
0-3
V
@Portsmouth
2-0
D
vsSwansea
0-3
Team Statistics
BurnleyDerby
90%BTTS (Both Teams To Score)60%
60%Over 2.5 goals80%
0Clean sheets1
0Wins2
11Goals scored11
20Goals conceded19
1.10Avg goals/match1.10

Championship standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1West Ham7421+1114
…
21Cardiff7043-44
22Derby7115-74
23Preston7106-73
24Burnley7034-83

FAQ

Who will win Burnley vs Derby?

According to the MetaPred algorithm, the most likely outcome for Burnley vs Derby is a Burnley win with a probability of 52%.

Will both teams score in Burnley vs Derby?

Our analysis indicates Yes for Both Teams to Score (BTTS) with a 61% probability for Burnley vs Derby.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Burnley vs Derby?

The MetaPred model predicts Over 2.5 goals for the Over/Under 2.5 goals market with a 60% probability.

Keep watching

See all →
  • 11:00
    Championship
    Sheffield Utd
    Wolverhampton
    Away win
    48%
  • 15:30
    Bundesliga
    SV Elversberg
    Bayern Munich
    Away win
    83%
  • 17:00
    Liga Portugal
    SL Benfica
    GIL Vicente
    Home win
    80%
  • 18:45
    Ligue 1
    Brest
    PSG
    Away win
    79%
  • 14:15
    La Liga
    Levante
    Barcelona
    Away win
    77%
Value BetsAccumulators

Value bets of the day

edge / odds
  • RB Leipzig — Hamburg
    Bundesliga
    +21%5.46
  • Levante — Barcelona
    La Liga
    +16%8.39
All value bets →
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Head to Head · 2 Last matches
0
Burnley
2 draws
0
Derby
Apr 08, 25
Derby
0-0
Burnley
Dec 10, 24
Burnley
0-0
Derby

Odds History

-0.03
Home
Draw
Away
Head to Head · 2 Last matches
0
Burnley
2 draws
0
Derby
Apr 08, 25
Derby
0-0
Burnley
Dec 10, 24
Burnley
0-0
Derby

Odds History

-0.03
Home
Draw
Away